Lilly’s Retatrutide Smashes Weight Loss Expectations

By: Editorial Team

December 12, 2025


  • Company: Eli Lilly
  • Location: Global
  • Deal value or headline figures: 28.7% weight loss, 75.8% pain reduction
  • Focus area: Obesity and knee osteoarthritis
  • Next steps: Seven more retatrutide trials planned for 2026

What happened?

Eli Lilly announced phase 3 results for retatrutide, a triple hormone agonist targeting obesity and knee osteoarthritis. Patients on the highest dose lost an average of 28.7% of their body weight and reported a 75.8% reduction in pain scores, exceeding previous expectations. However, a significant proportion of patients discontinued treatment due to adverse events, with 18.2% dropping out on the highest dose.​

Why does it matter?

Retatrutide’s efficacy surpasses that of current obesity drugs, including Lilly’s own Mounjaro and Zepbound, as well as Novo Nordisk’s semaglutide. The results signal a potential leap in obesity and osteoarthritis treatment, but high discontinuation rates due to side effects raise concerns about real-world tolerability and adoption.​

Who’s behind it?

Eli Lilly developed retatrutide and conducted the phase 3 Triumph-4 trial in 445 patients with obesity or overweight and knee osteoarthritis. The company is preparing for additional trials in obesity and type 2 diabetes, with data expected in 2026.​

How was it achieved?

The Triumph-4 trial tested two doses of retatrutide (9 mg and 12 mg) against placebo, with patients receiving once-weekly injections for 68 weeks. The primary endpoints were weight loss and reduction in osteoarthritis pain scores. The higher dose yielded 28.7% average weight loss and a 75.8% pain reduction, outperforming analyst predictions and previous trial results. Adverse events, including dysesthesia, led to higher discontinuation rates, especially in those with lower baseline BMI.​

What’s next?

Eli Lilly plans to complete seven more retatrutide trials in obesity and type 2 diabetes in 2026, including studies on a 4-mg maintenance dose. Further data will clarify the drug’s safety profile and optimal dosing for different patient populations.​

What are people saying?

Analysts noted that while efficacy exceeded even their bull-case scenarios, the higher discontinuation rates could limit uptake. One analyst suggested Lilly’s share price could rise 5% to 10% if tolerability improves, but the current results led to a modest 1% increase in premarket trading.​

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